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Saturday 10 December 2016, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
Hull City
3–3
HT 1–0
Crystal Palace
29% 23% 49%
Home win
28.6%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
48.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 28.6% 3.50 — —
Draw 22.9% 4.37 — —
Crystal Palace 48.6% 2.06 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.7% 27.22 — —
Over 1.5 86.6% 1.15 — —
Under 1.5 13.4% 7.47 — —
Over 2.5 67.3% 1.49 — —
Under 2.5 32.7% 3.06 — —
Over 3.5 45.6% 2.19 — —
Under 3.5 54.4% 1.84 — —
Over 4.5 26.8% 3.73 — —
Under 4.5 73.2% 1.37 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 67.3% 1.49 — —
No 32.7% 3.05 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 51.4% 1.95 — —
Hull City / Crystal Palace 77.1% 1.30 — —
Draw / Crystal Palace 71.4% 1.40 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
5.6
6.1
4.0
2.0
0.8
1
4.1
9.7
9.1
6.0
3.0
1.2
2
3.5
6.8
6.8
4.5
2.2
0.9
3
1.7
3.4
3.4
2.2
1.1
0.4
4
0.6
1.3
1.2
0.8
0.4
0.2
5
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hull City
L W L D L
Crystal Palace
L L L L W

Head to head

May 2017 Crystal Palace 4-0 Hull City

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.