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Saturday 29 October 2016, 19:30 Selhurst Park Full time
28% 23% 49%
Home win
27.6%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
48.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 27.6% 3.62
Draw 23.5% 4.26
Liverpool 48.9% 2.05

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.26
Over 1.5 84.7% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.3% 6.52
Over 2.5 63.9% 1.56
Under 2.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 3.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 3.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 4.5 23.6% 4.23
Under 4.5 76.4% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.5% 1.55
No 35.5% 2.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 51.1% 1.96
Crystal Palace / Liverpool 76.5% 1.31
Draw / Liverpool 72.4% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
6.5
6.7
4.3
2.0
0.8
1
4.6
10.4
9.3
5.9
2.8
1.1
2
3.6
6.8
6.5
4.1
2.0
0.7
3
1.7
3.2
3.0
1.9
0.9
0.3
4
0.6
1.1
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.