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Saturday 15 October 2016, 19:30 Selhurst Park Full time
70% 17% 13%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
13.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 70.1% 1.43
Draw 16.9% 5.93
West Ham 13.1% 7.65

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.3% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.7% 37.40
Over 1.5 89.5% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.5% 9.56
Over 2.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 2.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 3.5 52.4% 1.91
Under 3.5 47.6% 2.10
Over 4.5 32.9% 3.04
Under 4.5 67.1% 1.49

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.9% 1.59
No 37.1% 2.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 86.9% 1.15
Crystal Palace / West Ham 83.1% 1.20
Draw / West Ham 29.9% 3.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.7
2.1
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
5.7
7.2
3.8
1.4
0.4
0.1
2
8.1
9.0
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
7.2
8.0
4.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
4
4.8
5.4
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
5
2.6
2.9
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.