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Saturday 17 September 2016, 17:00 The Hawthorns Full time
4–2
HT 3–0
31% 31% 38%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
38.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom 30.7% 3.25
Draw 30.8% 3.25
West Ham 38.5% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.24
Over 1.5 64.8% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.2% 2.84
Over 2.5 37.1% 2.69
Under 2.5 62.9% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.6% 5.67
Under 3.5 82.4% 1.21
Over 4.5 7.0% 14.27
Under 4.5 93.0% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.6% 2.24
No 55.4% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Brom / Draw 61.5% 1.63
West Brom / West Ham 69.2% 1.45
Draw / West Ham 69.3% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
12.4
7.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
1
10.7
14.2
7.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
5.8
6.8
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.0
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Brom goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.