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Sunday 28 August 2016, 18:00 Etihad Stadium Full time
Manchester City
3–1
HT 2–0
West Ham
86% 6% 7%
Home win
86.2%
Draw
6.3%
Away win
7.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 86.2% 1.16 — —
Draw 6.3% 15.79 — —
West Ham 7.4% 13.44 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00 — —
Under 0.5 0.0% 5,882.35 — —
Over 1.5 99.9% 1.00 — —
Under 1.5 0.1% 1,351.35 — —
Over 2.5 99.6% 1.00 — —
Under 2.5 0.4% 226.24 — —
Over 3.5 98.4% 1.02 — —
Under 3.5 1.6% 63.17 — —
Over 4.5 95.7% 1.04 — —
Under 4.5 4.3% 23.25 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 93.7% 1.07 — —
No 6.3% 15.88 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 92.6% 1.08 — —
Manchester City / West Ham 93.7% 1.07 — —
Draw / West Ham 13.8% 7.26 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
0.0
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
2
0.2
0.5
0.7
0.6
0.4
0.3
3
0.4
1.1
1.6
1.5
1.0
0.6
4
0.7
1.9
2.6
2.5
1.7
1.0
5
0.9
2.6
3.6
3.3
2.3
1.3
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: West Ham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Manchester City
W W
West Ham
L W

Head to head

Mar 2026 West Ham 1-1 Manchester City Dec 2025 Manchester City 3-0 West Ham Jan 2025 Manchester City 4-1 West Ham Aug 2024 West Ham 1-3 Manchester City May 2024 Manchester City 3-1 West Ham Sep 2023 West Ham 1-3 Manchester City

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.