Saturday 20 August 2016, 14:30
bet365 Stadium
Full time
21%
67%
12%
Home win
20.7%
Draw
67.4%
Away win
11.9%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 11.9% | 8.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 7.6% | 13.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.1% | 94.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.1% | 869.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 10,000.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3.9% | 25.41 | — | — |
| No | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Manchester City | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
64.2
|
10.6
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.6
|
3.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2018
Stoke City
0-2
Manchester City
Oct 2017
Manchester City
7-2
Stoke City
Mar 2017
Manchester City
0-0
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.