Wednesday 8 March 2017, 22:00
Etihad Stadium
Full time
68%
19%
13%
Home win
67.8%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
13.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 13.0% | 7.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Stoke City | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
3.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
9.1
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.7
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
7.4
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.6
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2018
Stoke City
0-2
Manchester City
Oct 2017
Manchester City
7-2
Stoke City
Aug 2016
Stoke City
1-4
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.