Monday 13 February 2017, 22:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
25%
21%
54%
Home win
24.6%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
54.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.9% | 34.67 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.9% | 9.19 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Manchester City | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.9
|
4.9
|
6.1
|
4.5
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
3.1
|
8.5
|
9.0
|
6.7
|
3.8
|
1.7
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.9
|
6.7
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.9
|
3.3
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.1
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Bournemouth
1-1
Manchester City
Nov 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Bournemouth
May 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Bournemouth
Nov 2024
Bournemouth
2-1
Manchester City
Feb 2024
Bournemouth
0-1
Manchester City
Nov 2023
Manchester City
6-1
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.