Saturday 21 January 2017, 17:00
Vitality Stadium
Full time
58%
22%
20%
Home win
57.8%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
20.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Watford | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.39 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.6% | 6.02 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.8% | 4.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Watford | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Watford | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
4.1
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
10.2
|
5.5
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
9.9
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.9
|
6.7
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
3.5
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2020
Bournemouth
0-3
Watford
Oct 2019
Watford
0-0
Bournemouth
Jan 2019
Bournemouth
3-3
Watford
Oct 2018
Watford
0-4
Bournemouth
Mar 2018
Watford
2-2
Bournemouth
Aug 2017
Bournemouth
0-2
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.