Monday 26 December 2016, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
80%
14%
6%
Home win
79.8%
Draw
13.9%
Away win
6.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.9% | 7.17 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 6.3% | 15.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 24.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.3% | 6.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Bournemouth | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 20.2% | 4.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.3
|
6.6
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.9
|
8.4
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.5
|
7.4
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.7
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
Jan 2025
Chelsea
2-2
Bournemouth
Sep 2024
Bournemouth
0-1
Chelsea
May 2024
Chelsea
2-1
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.