Sunday 27 November 2016, 16:15
Emirates Stadium
Full time
69%
19%
12%
Home win
69.5%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
11.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.8% | 5.33 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 11.8% | 8.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Bournemouth | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
3.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
8.9
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.4
|
9.6
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.7
|
7.4
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.0
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Jan 2026
Bournemouth
2-3
Arsenal
May 2025
Arsenal
1-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2024
Bournemouth
2-0
Arsenal
May 2024
Arsenal
3-0
Bournemouth
Sep 2023
Bournemouth
0-4
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.