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Sunday 6 November 2016, 14:00 Emirates Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
43% 30% 28%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
27.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 42.6% 2.35
Draw 29.9% 3.34
Tottenham 27.5% 3.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.7% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.3% 8.81
Over 1.5 66.5% 1.50
Under 1.5 33.5% 2.98
Over 2.5 39.0% 2.56
Under 2.5 61.0% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.0% 5.26
Under 3.5 81.0% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.85
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.6% 2.19
No 54.4% 1.84

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 72.5% 1.38
Arsenal / Tottenham 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Tottenham 57.4% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.3
9.5
5.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.7
13.9
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
8.6
8.4
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.7
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.