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Saturday 24 September 2016, 17:00 Riverside Full time
17% 28% 55%
Home win
17.1%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
54.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 17.1% 5.86
Draw 28.0% 3.57
Tottenham 54.9% 1.82

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.19
Over 1.5 64.3% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.7% 2.80
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.77
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.61
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.3% 2.54
No 60.7% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 45.1% 2.22
Middlesbrough / Tottenham 72.0% 1.39
Draw / Tottenham 82.9% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
16.2
12.3
6.0
2.2
0.6
1
7.3
12.5
8.6
4.2
1.5
0.5
2
2.8
4.1
3.0
1.5
0.5
0.2
3
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.