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Sunday 18 September 2016, 18:30 White Hart Lane Full time
65% 22% 13%
Home win
64.8%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
13.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 64.8% 1.54
Draw 21.8% 4.59
Sunderland 13.4% 7.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.1% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.9% 14.47
Over 1.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.2% 4.31
Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Over 3.5 29.9% 3.34
Under 3.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.84
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 86.6% 1.15
Tottenham / Sunderland 78.2% 1.28
Draw / Sunderland 35.2% 2.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.9
4.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
11.9
10.4
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
9.7
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
8.2
6.4
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
4.0
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.6
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.