Saturday 10 September 2016, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
26%
36%
37%
Home win
26.4%
Draw
36.4%
Away win
37.1%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 36.4% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Tottenham | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 8.1% | 12.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.4% | 40.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| No | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Tottenham | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Draw / Tottenham | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
20.7
|
17.2
|
8.1
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.6
|
5.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Stoke City
1-2
Tottenham
Dec 2017
Tottenham
5-1
Stoke City
Feb 2017
Tottenham
4-0
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.