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Saturday 9 December 2017, 17:00 Wembley Stadium Full time
79% 14% 6%
Home win
79.3%
Draw
14.5%
Away win
6.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 79.3% 1.26
Draw 14.5% 6.91
Stoke City 6.2% 16.02

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.07
Over 1.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.9% 5.90
Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 3.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.7% 4.62
Under 4.5 78.3% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.6% 2.35
No 57.4% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 93.8% 1.07
Tottenham / Stoke City 85.5% 1.17
Draw / Stoke City 20.7% 4.83

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
10.3
6.9
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
13.7
8.4
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.8
7.2
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
7.6
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.9
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Stoke City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.