Saturday 4 November 2017, 14:30
bet365 Stadium
Full time
40%
27%
33%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
33.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Leicester | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| No | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Leicester | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Leicester | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
7.5
|
5.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
12.7
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.7
|
8.7
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.2
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2018
Leicester
1-1
Stoke City
Apr 2017
Leicester
2-0
Stoke City
Dec 2016
Stoke City
2-2
Leicester
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.