Saturday 28 October 2017, 17:00
Vicarage Road
Full time
45%
26%
29%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
28.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Stoke City | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Watford / Stoke City | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Stoke City | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
6.5
|
4.5
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.5
|
12.2
|
7.2
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.4
|
9.3
|
5.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
5.0
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.