Saturday 14 October 2017, 19:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
20%
22%
57%
Home win
20.5%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
57.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.4% | 4.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Watford / Arsenal | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
7.9
|
8.6
|
5.8
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.3
|
9.9
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
5.6
|
5.7
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
2.1
|
2.2
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Watford
2-3
Arsenal
Nov 2021
Arsenal
1-0
Watford
Jul 2020
Arsenal
3-2
Watford
Sep 2019
Watford
2-2
Arsenal
Apr 2019
Watford
0-1
Arsenal
Sep 2018
Arsenal
2-0
Watford
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.