Sunday 27 August 2017, 18:00
Anfield
Full time
49%
23%
28%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
27.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.28 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.2% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Arsenal | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
4.5
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
10.3
|
6.8
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
9.3
|
6.6
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
5.9
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.8
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Arsenal
0-0
Liverpool
Aug 2025
Liverpool
1-0
Arsenal
May 2025
Liverpool
2-2
Arsenal
Oct 2024
Arsenal
2-2
Liverpool
Feb 2024
Arsenal
3-1
Liverpool
Dec 2023
Liverpool
1-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.