Saturday 12 August 2017, 14:30
Vicarage Road
Full time
18%
22%
60%
Home win
17.6%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
60.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford | 17.6% | 5.69 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.5% | 5.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.4% | 5.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford / Draw | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Watford / Liverpool | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
9.0
|
9.8
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
10.3
|
10.0
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
| 2 |
2.4
|
5.0
|
5.1
|
3.4
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.7
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Oct 2021
Watford
0-5
Liverpool
Feb 2020
Watford
3-0
Liverpool
Dec 2019
Liverpool
2-0
Watford
Feb 2019
Liverpool
5-0
Watford
Nov 2018
Watford
0-3
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.