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Sunday 23 April 2017, 18:30 Anfield Full time
72% 16% 12%
Home win
72.0%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
11.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 72.0% 1.39
Draw 16.5% 6.07
Crystal Palace 11.5% 8.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.0% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.0% 33.27
Over 1.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.6% 8.58
Over 2.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.4% 3.41
Over 3.5 49.6% 2.02
Under 3.5 50.4% 1.98
Over 4.5 30.4% 3.29
Under 4.5 69.6% 1.44

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.2% 1.69
No 40.8% 2.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 88.5% 1.13
Liverpool / Crystal Palace 83.5% 1.20
Draw / Crystal Palace 28.0% 3.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.0
2.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
6.5
7.3
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
9.1
9.1
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
8.0
8.1
4.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
4
5.3
5.3
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
2.8
2.8
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.