Monday 10 April 2017, 22:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
27%
23%
50%
Home win
27.0%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
49.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.2% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 23.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.66 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| No | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Arsenal | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
6.4
|
6.8
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
4.4
|
10.3
|
9.4
|
6.0
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.5
|
6.7
|
6.5
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
3.1
|
3.0
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Crystal Palace
1-2
Arsenal
Oct 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2025
Arsenal
2-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
1-5
Arsenal
Jan 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Crystal Palace
Aug 2023
Crystal Palace
0-1
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.