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Saturday 25 February 2017, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
39% 32% 29%
Home win
39.2%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
29.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 39.2% 2.55
Draw 31.7% 3.15
Middlesbrough 29.1% 3.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.35
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 33.9% 2.95
Under 2.5 66.1% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.3% 6.53
Under 3.5 84.7% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.28
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.7% 2.40
No 58.3% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 70.9% 1.41
Crystal Palace / Middlesbrough 68.3% 1.47
Draw / Middlesbrough 60.8% 1.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
11.1
5.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
13.6
14.2
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
8.1
7.5
3.5
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
3.0
2.8
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.