Saturday 11 February 2017, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
53%
24%
23%
Home win
52.8%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
23.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Crystal Palace | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
5.1
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
11.2
|
6.2
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
9.8
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.2
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2018
Stoke City
1-2
Crystal Palace
Nov 2017
Crystal Palace
2-1
Stoke City
Sep 2016
Crystal Palace
4-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.