Saturday 5 May 2018, 14:30
bet365 Stadium
Full time
35%
29%
36%
Home win
35.1%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
36.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.5% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.2% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.9% | 9.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Crystal Palace | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
9.6
|
6.6
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
13.6
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
7.9
|
5.0
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
3.3
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Nov 2017
Crystal Palace
2-1
Stoke City
Feb 2017
Stoke City
1-0
Crystal Palace
Sep 2016
Crystal Palace
4-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.