Saturday 14 April 2018, 17:00
Selhurst Park
Full time
47%
29%
24%
Home win
47.5%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Brighton | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.1% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.9% | 9.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Brighton | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.9
|
8.4
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
13.4
|
5.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
8.8
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
4.1
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Brighton
0-1
Crystal Palace
Nov 2025
Crystal Palace
0-0
Brighton
Apr 2025
Crystal Palace
2-1
Brighton
Dec 2024
Brighton
1-3
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Brighton
4-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 2023
Crystal Palace
1-1
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.