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Sunday 4 March 2018, 15:30 American Express Community Stadium Full time
2–1
HT 2–1
24% 26% 50%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
49.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton 24.0% 4.17
Draw 26.2% 3.81
Arsenal 49.8% 2.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.07
Over 1.5 75.2% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.8% 4.04
Over 2.5 49.8% 2.01
Under 2.5 50.2% 1.99
Over 3.5 27.9% 3.59
Under 3.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.2% 7.56
Under 4.5 86.8% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Brighton / Draw 50.2% 1.99
Brighton / Arsenal 73.8% 1.36
Draw / Arsenal 76.0% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
10.5
9.1
4.9
2.0
0.6
1
6.6
12.5
9.5
5.1
2.1
0.7
2
3.8
6.2
5.0
2.7
1.1
0.4
3
1.3
2.2
1.8
0.9
0.4
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Brighton goals. Columns: Arsenal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.