Sunday 4 March 2018, 15:30
American Express Community Stadium
Full time
24%
26%
50%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
26.2%
Away win
49.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.2% | 3.81 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.7% | 13.07 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.8% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.9% | 3.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.2% | 7.56 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton / Draw | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Brighton / Arsenal | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.7
|
10.5
|
9.1
|
4.9
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
12.5
|
9.5
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
6.2
|
5.0
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.2
|
1.8
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Brighton
0-1
Arsenal
Dec 2025
Arsenal
2-1
Brighton
Jan 2025
Brighton
1-1
Arsenal
Aug 2024
Arsenal
1-1
Brighton
Apr 2024
Brighton
0-3
Arsenal
Dec 2023
Arsenal
2-0
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.