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Saturday 3 February 2018, 19:30 Emirates Stadium Full time
5–1
HT 4–0
59% 22% 19%
Home win
59.4%
Draw
21.5%
Away win
19.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal 59.4% 1.68
Draw 21.5% 4.65
Everton 19.1% 5.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.98
Over 1.5 84.3% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.7% 6.38
Over 2.5 63.5% 1.58
Under 2.5 36.5% 2.74
Over 3.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 3.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 4.5 23.2% 4.31
Under 4.5 76.8% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.5% 1.65
No 39.5% 2.53

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Arsenal / Draw 80.9% 1.24
Arsenal / Everton 78.5% 1.27
Draw / Everton 40.6% 2.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
3.8
2.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
1
7.5
9.8
5.3
2.0
0.6
0.1
2
8.6
9.8
5.6
2.1
0.6
0.1
3
6.1
7.0
4.0
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
3.2
3.7
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
1.4
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Arsenal goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.