Wednesday 3 January 2018, 21:45
Emirates Stadium
Full time
32%
26%
41%
Home win
32.3%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
41.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 32.3% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Chelsea | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
8.2
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.4
|
8.9
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
7.7
|
5.9
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-1
Chelsea
Nov 2025
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Mar 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
Nov 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Apr 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Chelsea
Oct 2023
Chelsea
2-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.