Tuesday 26 December 2017, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
72%
20%
8%
Home win
72.3%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
7.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
| Brighton | 7.6% | 13.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.1% | 9.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
| No | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Brighton | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Brighton | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.5
|
8.7
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.7
|
8.1
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.9
|
5.3
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.3
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Brighton
3-0
Chelsea
Sep 2025
Chelsea
1-3
Brighton
Feb 2025
Brighton
3-0
Chelsea
Sep 2024
Chelsea
4-2
Brighton
May 2024
Brighton
1-2
Chelsea
Dec 2023
Chelsea
3-2
Brighton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.