Saturday 23 December 2017, 14:30
Goodison Park
Full time
24%
25%
51%
Home win
23.8%
Draw
25.1%
Away win
51.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 23.8% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Everton / Chelsea | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
9.4
|
8.7
|
5.0
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
11.9
|
9.7
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
6.3
|
5.4
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.3
|
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
3-0
Chelsea
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Everton
Dec 2024
Everton
0-0
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
6-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
2-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.