Saturday 2 December 2017, 14:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
80%
14%
6%
Home win
80.1%
Draw
14.2%
Away win
5.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.2% | 7.04 | — | — |
| Newcastle | 5.7% | 17.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.97 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.7% | 5.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.6% | 4.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Newcastle | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Newcastle | 19.9% | 5.03 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
6.7
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.4
|
8.1
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.3
|
6.9
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.9
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Chelsea
0-1
Newcastle
Dec 2025
Newcastle
2-2
Chelsea
May 2025
Newcastle
2-0
Chelsea
Oct 2024
Chelsea
2-1
Newcastle
Mar 2024
Chelsea
3-2
Newcastle
Nov 2023
Newcastle
4-1
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.