Saturday 4 November 2017, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
48%
29%
23%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
23.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.3% | 4.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.7% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Bournemouth | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
8.1
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
13.3
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.0
|
8.9
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Newcastle
1-2
Bournemouth
Sep 2025
Bournemouth
0-0
Newcastle
Jan 2025
Newcastle
1-4
Bournemouth
Aug 2024
Bournemouth
1-1
Newcastle
Feb 2024
Newcastle
2-2
Bournemouth
Nov 2023
Bournemouth
2-0
Newcastle
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.