Saturday 21 October 2017, 17:00
St James' Park
Full time
56%
25%
18%
Home win
56.3%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
18.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 18.5% | 5.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.0% | 8.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle / Draw | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Newcastle / Crystal Palace | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
6.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
12.0
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.6
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.3
|
5.5
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Crystal Palace
2-1
Newcastle
Jan 2026
Newcastle
2-0
Crystal Palace
Apr 2025
Newcastle
5-0
Crystal Palace
Nov 2024
Crystal Palace
1-1
Newcastle
Apr 2024
Crystal Palace
2-0
Newcastle
Oct 2023
Newcastle
4-0
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.