Sunday 10 September 2017, 15:30
Turf Moor
Full time
46%
28%
26%
Home win
46.0%
Draw
27.7%
Away win
26.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.1% | 9.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Burnley / Crystal Palace | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
7.7
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
13.2
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.1
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.5
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Crystal Palace
2-3
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
3-0
Burnley
Nov 2023
Burnley
0-2
Crystal Palace
Feb 2022
Crystal Palace
1-1
Burnley
Nov 2021
Burnley
3-3
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.