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Sunday 21 May 2017, 17:00 Old Trafford Full time
64% 23% 13%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
23.1%
Away win
12.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 64.1% 1.56
Draw 23.1% 4.33
Crystal Palace 12.8% 7.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.3% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.7% 11.52
Over 1.5 72.2% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.8% 3.60
Over 2.5 46.0% 2.17
Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85
Over 3.5 24.6% 4.06
Under 3.5 75.4% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.1% 9.00
Under 4.5 88.9% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.3% 2.36
No 57.7% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 87.2% 1.15
Manchester United / Crystal Palace 76.9% 1.30
Draw / Crystal Palace 35.9% 2.79

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.7
4.9
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
14.2
10.8
3.5
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.5
9.3
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.2
5.7
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
3.8
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Crystal Palace goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.