Saturday 29 April 2017, 19:30
Selhurst Park
Full time
52%
27%
22%
Home win
51.6%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
21.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Burnley | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Burnley | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Burnley | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
6.7
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
12.6
|
5.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.5
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Crystal Palace
2-3
Burnley
Dec 2025
Burnley
0-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
3-0
Burnley
Nov 2023
Burnley
0-2
Crystal Palace
Feb 2022
Crystal Palace
1-1
Burnley
Nov 2021
Burnley
3-3
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.