Saturday 1 April 2017, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
17%
26%
57%
Home win
17.3%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
56.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 17.3% | 5.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Tottenham | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Burnley / Tottenham | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Tottenham | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
14.0
|
11.9
|
6.4
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
| 1 |
6.4
|
12.2
|
9.3
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
4.5
|
3.6
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Burnley
2-2
Tottenham
Aug 2025
Tottenham
3-0
Burnley
May 2024
Tottenham
2-1
Burnley
Sep 2023
Burnley
2-5
Tottenham
May 2022
Tottenham
1-0
Burnley
Feb 2022
Burnley
1-0
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.