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Saturday 25 February 2017, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
33% 30% 37%
Home win
33.3%
Draw
29.6%
Away win
37.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 33.3% 3.00
Draw 29.6% 3.38
Burnley 37.1% 2.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.69
Over 1.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 1.5 31.1% 3.21
Over 2.5 41.7% 2.40
Under 2.5 58.3% 1.72
Over 3.5 21.1% 4.74
Under 3.5 78.9% 1.27
Over 4.5 9.0% 11.14
Under 4.5 91.0% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.5% 2.06
No 51.5% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 62.9% 1.59
Hull City / Burnley 70.4% 1.42
Draw / Burnley 66.7% 1.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
10.8
7.0
2.8
0.9
0.2
1
10.0
13.9
8.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
6.2
7.5
4.5
1.8
0.6
0.1
3
2.3
2.8
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
4
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Burnley goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.