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Saturday 4 February 2017, 17:00 KCOM Stadium Full time
Hull City
2–0
HT 1–0
Liverpool
14% 19% 67%
Home win
14.3%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
66.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 14.3% 7.01 — —
Draw 18.9% 5.28 — —
Liverpool 66.8% 1.50 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.21 — —
Over 1.5 85.8% 1.17 — —
Under 1.5 14.2% 7.06 — —
Over 2.5 66.1% 1.51 — —
Under 2.5 33.9% 2.95 — —
Over 3.5 44.2% 2.26 — —
Under 3.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Over 4.5 25.6% 3.90 — —
Under 4.5 74.4% 1.34 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.7% 1.70 — —
No 41.3% 2.42 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 33.2% 3.01 — —
Hull City / Liverpool 81.1% 1.23 — —
Draw / Liverpool 85.7% 1.17 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
7.4
9.4
7.4
4.4
2.1
1
2.9
8.6
9.6
7.6
4.5
2.2
2
1.8
4.2
5.0
3.9
2.3
1.1
3
0.6
1.4
1.7
1.3
0.8
0.4
4
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hull City
D L W L D
Liverpool
W D D L D

Head to head

Sep 2016 Liverpool 5-1 Hull City

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.