Saturday 21 January 2017, 14:30
Anfield
Full time
89%
8%
4%
Home win
88.6%
Draw
7.7%
Away win
3.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 7.7% | 13.04 | — | — |
| Swansea | 3.7% | 27.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.9% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.1% | 87.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.3% | 19.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 15.8% | 6.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool / Draw | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Liverpool / Swansea | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 11.4% | 8.80 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.0
|
7.3
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.6
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.6
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.