Saturday 1 October 2016, 14:30
Liberty Stadium
Full time
15%
16%
69%
Home win
14.7%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
69.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 14.7% | 6.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.1% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.9% | 53.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.5% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.5% | 13.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 39.8% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Swansea / Liverpool | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.9
|
4.0
|
6.2
|
6.0
|
4.3
|
2.5
|
| 1 |
1.7
|
6.1
|
8.2
|
7.9
|
5.7
|
3.2
|
| 2 |
1.3
|
3.8
|
5.4
|
5.2
|
3.7
|
2.1
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.7
|
2.4
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.