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Saturday 24 September 2016, 17:00 Anfield Full time
63% 19% 18%
Home win
62.8%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
18.1%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool 62.8% 1.59
Draw 19.1% 5.23
Hull City 18.1% 5.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.2% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.8% 35.80
Over 1.5 89.3% 1.12
Under 1.5 10.7% 9.34
Over 2.5 72.3% 1.38
Under 2.5 27.7% 3.61
Over 3.5 51.7% 1.94
Under 3.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 4.5 32.3% 3.10
Under 4.5 67.7% 1.48

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.7% 1.50
No 33.3% 3.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Liverpool / Draw 81.9% 1.22
Liverpool / Hull City 80.9% 1.24
Draw / Hull City 37.2% 2.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.8
2.6
1.9
0.8
0.3
0.1
1
5.3
7.9
4.8
2.1
0.7
0.2
2
7.1
9.2
5.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
3
5.9
7.5
4.9
2.1
0.7
0.2
4
3.6
4.7
3.0
1.3
0.4
0.1
5
1.8
2.3
1.5
0.6
0.2
0.1
Rows: Liverpool goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.