Skip to content
Saturday 27 August 2016, 19:30 KCOM Stadium Full time
91% 4% 5%
Home win
90.8%
Draw
4.4%
Away win
4.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 90.8% 1.10
Draw 4.4% 22.53
Manchester United 4.8% 20.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0%
Over 1.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.0%
Over 2.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 2.5 0.0% 33,333.33
Over 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 3.5 0.0% 5,555.56
Over 4.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 4.5 0.1% 1,234.57

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 98.8% 1.01
No 1.2% 80.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 95.2% 1.05
Hull City / Manchester United 95.6% 1.05
Draw / Manchester United 9.2% 10.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
4
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
5
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.7
0.6
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.