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Wednesday 1 February 2017, 22:00 Old Trafford Full time
75% 17% 8%
Home win
75.4%
Draw
16.9%
Away win
7.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 75.4% 1.33
Draw 16.9% 5.92
Hull City 7.7% 12.93

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.69
Over 1.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.1% 4.97
Over 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Under 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Over 3.5 34.3% 2.91
Under 3.5 65.7% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.8% 5.63
Under 4.5 82.3% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.3% 2.36
No 57.7% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 92.3% 1.08
Manchester United / Hull City 83.1% 1.20
Draw / Hull City 24.6% 4.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
2.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
11.7
8.0
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.2
8.8
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
11.0
6.9
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
6.4
4.0
1.2
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
3.0
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.