Monday 26 December 2016, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
66%
23%
11%
Home win
66.0%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
11.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 11.0% | 9.10 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| No | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Sunderland | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
4.8
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.0
|
10.3
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.9
|
8.7
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Sunderland
0-0
Manchester United
Oct 2025
Manchester United
2-0
Sunderland
Apr 2017
Sunderland
0-3
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.