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Sunday 9 April 2017, 15:30 Stadium of Light Full time
17% 29% 54%
Home win
17.1%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
54.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 17.1% 5.83
Draw 28.7% 3.48
Manchester United 54.1% 1.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.65
Over 1.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 2.5 34.8% 2.87
Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 3.5 16.0% 6.26
Under 3.5 84.0% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.33
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.9% 2.64
No 62.1% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 45.9% 2.18
Sunderland / Manchester United 71.3% 1.40
Draw / Manchester United 82.9% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
16.8
12.4
5.8
2.1
0.6
1
7.6
12.5
8.4
3.9
1.4
0.4
2
2.8
4.0
2.8
1.3
0.5
0.1
3
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Manchester United goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.