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Tuesday 4 April 2017, 21:45 King Power Stadium Full time
55% 25% 19%
Home win
55.2%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
19.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 55.2% 1.81
Draw 25.3% 3.94
Sunderland 19.5% 5.14

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.0% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.0% 12.47
Over 1.5 74.2% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.8% 3.87
Over 2.5 48.5% 2.06
Under 2.5 51.5% 1.94
Over 3.5 26.7% 3.75
Under 3.5 73.3% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.4% 8.04
Under 4.5 87.6% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.6% 2.02
No 50.4% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 80.5% 1.24
Leicester / Sunderland 74.7% 1.34
Draw / Sunderland 44.8% 2.23

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.0
6.0
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
11.8
12.1
5.2
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.6
9.7
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
6.0
5.5
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.5
2.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.