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Monday 27 February 2017, 22:00 King Power Stadium Full time
17% 21% 61%
Home win
17.4%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
61.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester 17.4% 5.76
Draw 21.3% 4.70
Liverpool 61.3% 1.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.31
Over 1.5 83.3% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.7% 5.97
Over 2.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.4% 2.54
Under 3.5 60.6% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.7% 4.61
Under 4.5 78.3% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.0% 1.72
No 42.0% 2.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leicester / Draw 38.7% 2.59
Leicester / Liverpool 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Liverpool 82.6% 1.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
8.2
9.4
6.6
3.5
1.5
1
3.8
9.9
9.9
7.0
3.7
1.6
2
2.3
4.9
5.2
3.7
2.0
0.8
3
0.8
1.7
1.8
1.3
0.7
0.3
4
0.2
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leicester goals. Columns: Liverpool goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.